Nov 3, 2012
The Kline Directive: Technological Feasibility (1)
Posted by Benjamin T. Solomon in categories: business, defense, engineering, military, philosophy, physics, policy, scientific freedom, space
To achieve interstellar travel, the Kline Directive instructs us to be bold, to explore what others have not, to seek what others will not, to change what others dare not. To extend the boundaries of our knowledge, to advocate new methods, techniques and research, to sponsor change not status quo, on 5 fronts, Legal Standing, Safety Awareness, Economic Viability, Theoretical-Empirical Relationships, and Technological Feasibility.
In this post I will explore Technological Feasibility. At the end of the day that is the only thing that matters. If a hypothesis is not able to vindicate itself with empirical evidence it will not become technologically feasible. If it is not technologically feasible then it stands no chance of becoming commercially viable.
If we examine historical land, air and space speed records, we can construct and estimate of velocities that future technologies can achieve, aka technology forecasting. See table below for some of the speed records.
Year | Fastest Velocity | Craft | Velocity (km/h) | Velocity (m/s) |
2006 | Escape Earth | New Horizons | 57,600 | 16,000 |
1976 | Capt. Eldon W. Joersz and Maj. George T. Morgan | Lockheed SR-71 Blackbird | 3,530 | 980 |
1927 | Car land speed record (not jet engine) | Mystry | 328 | 91 |
1920 | Joseph Sadi-Lecointe | Nieuport-Delage NiD 29 | 275 | 76 |
1913 | Maurice Prévost | Deperdussin Monocoque | 180 | 50 |
1903 | Wilbur Wright at Kitty Hawk | Wright Aircraft | 11 | 3 |
A quick and dirty model derived from the data shows that we could achieve velocity of light c by 2151 or the late 2150s. See table below.
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